England · Premier League · Sat 17 Oct 2026, 18:30

Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa

Finished

Corners: 9 · Cards: 8

Our predictions — 1 market

Corners

Under 12.5

Newcastle win around 4.0 corners per home game and give away 5.2. Aston Villa earn around 4.4 away and concede 6.1. That puts the projected total around 10 corners — 3 below the 12.5 line, which supports Under 12.5.

65%

confidence

Won

Scoreline combos (1 tip)

Grouped straight from the scoreline matrix, not two markets multiplied together. Prices are our own calculated estimates, not live bookmaker quotes.

Tip	Prob.	Price	Edge	Result
12 & Over 2.5	68%	2.079	+7.5%	Lost

Recent form & head-to-head

Newcastle — Last 5 home

W D L W L

Aston Villa — Last 5 away

W W D L L

Newcastle — Recent

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

0–1

Coventry vs Newcastle

4–1

Newcastle vs Hull

2–1

Leeds vs Newcastle

4–1

Newcastle vs Bournemouth

2–2

Aston Villa — Recent

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

0–1

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

6–0

Aston Villa vs Brentford

2–2

Tottenham vs Aston Villa

2–3

Aston Villa vs Nottingham

1–2

Head to Head — Last 5

Newcastle

Draws

Aston Vil…

1–3

0–2

0–0

4–1

3–0

Team statistics

Newcastle (Home)

Aston Villa (Away)

Goals scored / conceded

1.86/0.29

Goals scored / conceded

1.56/1.44

Corners for / against

4.0/5.2

Corners for / against

2.4/2.0

Home win rate

86%

Away win rate

39%

BTTS rate (home)

14%

BTTS rate (away)

61%

Markets skipped

12 & Under 2.5

no_value

12 & Yes

no_value

1 & Over 2.5

no_value

1 & Under 2.5

no_value

1 & Yes

no_value

1X2 Match Result

no_value

2 & Over 2.5

Ranked out by stronger market

2 & Under 2.5

no_value

2 & Yes

no_value

Both Teams to Score

no_value

BTTS & Over 2.5

no_value

Double Chance

no_value

Over/Under Goals

no_value

X & Over 2.5

no_value

X & Under 2.5

no_value

X & Yes

no_value